Division
AFC South
2026 Outlook
Projected wins
10.0p10 8.0 — p90 13.0
| Round | Prob | Bar |
|---|---|---|
| Win division | 30.0% | |
| Make playoffs | 78.3% | |
| Divisional rd. | 50.6% | |
| Conf. champ. | 28.0% | |
| Super Bowl | 15.7% | |
| Win SB | 8.5% |
2026 Schedule · SOS
proj 10.3–6.7·rank 12 / 32
SOS Net
+0.22
Opp Off
+0.15
Opp Def
-0.07
| Wk | Opp | Opp | Proj | Win% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vsCLE | -3.6 | +9.8 | 77% |
| 2 | @DEN | +1.4 | +0.8 | 52% |
| 3 | vsNE | +2.5 | +3.7 | 61% |
| 4 | @CIN | -1.7 | +3.9 | 61% |
| 5 | vsPHI | +1.4 | +4.8 | 64% |
| 6 | vsHOU | +5.7 | +0.5 | 51% |
| 8 | vsIND | +2.9 | +3.3 | 60% |
| 9 | @BAL | +1.3 | +0.9 | 53% |
| 10 | @TEN | -4.8 | +7.0 | 70% |
| 11 | @NYG | -1.8 | +4.0 | 62% |
| 12 | vsTEN | -4.8 | +11.0 | 79% |
| 13 | @CHI | +0.2 | +2.0 | 56% |
| 14 | vsPIT | -0.4 | +6.6 | 69% |
| 15 | @HOU | +5.7 | -3.5 | 40% |
| 16 | @DAL | -2.3 | +4.5 | 63% |
| 17 | vsWAS | -0.8 | +7.0 | 70% |
| 18 | @IND | +2.9 | -0.7 | 48% |
Quarterbacks · 4
| Pos | Depth | Player | Ht | Wt | Age | College |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QB | 1st | Trevor Lawrence | 6'6" | 220 | 26 | Clemson |
| QB | 2nd | Nick Mullens | 6'0" | 210 | 31 | Southern Miss |
| QB | 3rd | Carter Bradley | 6'3" | 213 | 26 | South Alabama |
| QB | — | Joey Aguilar | 6'3" | 225 | 24 | Tennessee; Appalachian State; Diablo Valley College |
Running Backs · 6
| Pos | Depth | Player | Ht | Wt | Age | College |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB | 1st | Chris Rodriguez | 5'11" | 224 | 26 | Kentucky |
| RB | 2nd | Bhayshul Tuten | 5'9" | 209 | 24 | Virginia Tech |
| RB | 3rd | LeQuint Allen | 6'0" | 201 | 21 | Syracuse |
| RB | 4th | Ameer Abdullah | 5'9" | 203 | 32 | Nebraska |
| RB | 5th | DeeJay Dallas | 5'10" | 225 | 27 | Miami |
| RB | 6th | J'Mari Taylor | 5'9" | 199 | 24 | Virginia |
Wide Receivers · 13
| Pos | Depth | Player | Ht | Wt | Age | College |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WR | 1st | Brian Thomas Jr. | 6'2" | 209 | 23 | LSU |
| WR | 2nd | Jakobi Meyers | 6'2" | 193 | 29 | North Carolina State |
| WR | 3rd | Parker Washington | 5'10" | 204 | 24 | Penn State |
| WR | 4th | Travis Hunter | 6'1" | 185 | 23 | Colorado |
| WR | 5th | Josh Cameron | 6'1" | 224 | 23 | Baylor |
| WR | 6th | C.J. Williams | 6'1" | 205 | 22 | Stanford |
| WR | 7th | Tim Jones | 6'1" | 200 | 28 | Southern Miss |
| WR | 8th | Austin Trammell | 5'10" | 185 | 27 | Rice |
| WR | 12th | Trebor Pena | 5'10" | 187 | 24 | Penn State |
| WR | — | Ben Patterson | 6'5" | 220 | — | University of Texas of the Permian Basin |
| WR | — | Brady Boyd | 6'1" | 195 | — | Utah State |
| WR | — | Chandler Brayboy | 6'1" | 199 | 24 | Elon |
| WR | — | Michael Wortham | 5'9" | 190 | 23 | Montana; Eastern Washington |
Tight Ends · 7
| Pos | Depth | Player | Ht | Wt | Age | College |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TE | 1st | Brenton Strange | 6'4" | 253 | 25 | Penn State |
| TE | 2nd | Nate Boerkircher | 6'6" | 245 | 24 | Texas A&M |
| TE | 3rd | Tanner Koziol | 6'7" | 250 | 22 | Houston |
| TE | 4th | Quintin Morris | 6'2" | 243 | 27 | Bowling Green |
| TE | 5th | Hunter Long | 6'5" | 243 | 27 | Boston College |
| TE | — | Ethan Conner | 6'4" | 245 | 24 | Troy; East Mississippi JC |
| TE | — | Patrick Herbert | 6'5" | 255 | 25 | Oregon |
Offensive Line · 16
| Pos | Depth | Player | Ht | Wt | Age | College |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OL | — | Anton Harrison | 6'5" | 315 | 24 | Oklahoma |
| OL | — | Chuma Edoga | 6'4" | 315 | 29 | USC |
| OL | — | Cole Van Lanen | 6'4" | 312 | 28 | Wisconsin |
| OL | — | Emmanuel Pregnon | 6'4" | 314 | 24 | Oregon; USC; Wyoming |
| OL | — | Ezra Cleveland | 6'6" | 311 | 28 | Boise State |
| OL | — | Garrett DiGiorgio | 6'7" | 320 | 23 | UCLA |
| OL | — | Jerome Carvin | 6'5" | 307 | 25 | Tennessee |
| OL | — | Jimto Obidegwu | 6'5" | 335 | — | North Texas; Temple; Kent State |
| OL | — | Jonah Monheim | 6'5" | 310 | 23 | USC |
| OL | — | Kilian Zierer | 6'7" | 312 | 26 | Auburn |
| OL | — | Patrick Mekari | 6'4" | 305 | 28 | California |
| OL | — | Ricky Lee | 6'6" | 305 | 26 | North Carolina A&T |
| OL | — | Robert Hainsey | 6'4" | 306 | 27 | Notre Dame |
| OL | — | Sal Wormley | 6'3" | 327 | 24 | Penn State |
| OL | — | Walker Little | 6'7" | 325 | 27 | Stanford |
| OL | — | Wyatt Milum | 6'6" | 317 | 23 | West Virginia |
Interior D-Line · 10
| Pos | Depth | Player | Ht | Wt | Age | College |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LDT | 1st | Arik Armstead | 6'7" | 290 | 32 | Oregon |
| RDT | 1st | Davon Hamilton | 6'4" | 335 | 29 | Ohio State |
| LDT | 2nd | Ruke Orhorhoro | 6'4" | 295 | 24 | Clemson |
| RDT | 2nd | Albert Regis | 6'1" | 295 | 23 | Texas A&M |
| LDT | 3rd | Matt Dickerson | 6'5" | 300 | 30 | UCLA |
| DL | — | Bryan Thomas Jr. | 6'2" | 250 | 21 | South Carolina |
| DL | — | Jalen Hunt | 6'2" | 315 | 24 | Cincinnati; Michigan State |
| DL | — | Keivie Rose | 6'3" | 314 | 25 | Arkansas; Louisiana Tech |
| DL | — | Quindarius Dunnigan | 6'4" | 257 | 24 | Michigan State; Middle Tennessee State |
| DL | — | T.J. Bollers | 6'2" | 305 | 23 | California; Wisconsin |
Edge Rushers · 8
| Pos | Depth | Player | Ht | Wt | Age | College |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LDE | 1st | Travon Walker | 6'5" | 272 | 25 | Georgia |
| RDE | 1st | Josh Hines-Allen | 6'5" | 255 | 28 | Kentucky |
| LDE | 2nd | Dennis Gardeck | 6'0" | 232 | 31 | Sioux Falls |
| RDE | 2nd | Wesley Williams | 6'3" | 256 | 21 | Duke |
| LDE | 3rd | B.J. Green | 6'1" | 270 | 22 | Colorado |
| RDE | 3rd | Zach Durfee | 6'5" | 258 | 24 | Washington |
| LDE | 4th | Jalen McLeod | 6'1" | 236 | 23 | Auburn |
| RDE | 4th | Danny Striggow | 6'5" | 255 | 23 | Minnesota |
Linebackers · 6
| Pos | Depth | Player | Ht | Wt | Age | College |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 1st | Ventrell Miller | 6'0" | 232 | 27 | Florida |
| SLB | 1st | Jack Kiser | 6'2" | 231 | 25 | Notre Dame |
| WLB | 1st | Foyesade Oluokun | 6'2" | 230 | 30 | Yale |
| MLB | 2nd | Parker Hughes | 6'1" | 228 | 23 | Middle Tennessee State |
| SLB | 2nd | Yasir Abdullah | 6'1" | 240 | 26 | Louisville |
| WLB | 2nd | Branson Combs | 6'3" | 228 | 25 | Wake Forest |
Defensive Backs · 18
| Pos | Depth | Player | Ht | Wt | Age | College |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FS | 1st | Antonio Johnson | 6'2" | 198 | 24 | Texas A&M |
| LCB | 1st | Travis Hunter | 6'1" | 185 | 23 | Colorado |
| NB | 1st | Jourdan Lewis | 5'10" | 190 | 30 | Michigan |
| RCB | 1st | Montaric Brown | 6'0" | 190 | 26 | Arkansas |
| SS | 1st | Eric Murray | 5'11" | 199 | 32 | Minnesota |
| FS | 2nd | Jalen Huskey | 6'1" | 196 | 23 | Maryland |
| NB | 2nd | Jarrian Jones | 5'11" | 190 | 25 | Florida State |
| RCB | 2nd | Keith Taylor | 6'3" | 195 | 27 | Washington |
| SS | 2nd | Rayuan Lane | 5'11" | 197 | 22 | Navy |
| FS | 3rd | Caleb Ransaw | 6'0" | 196 | 23 | Tulane |
| SS | 3rd | Trevian Thomas | 5'11" | 196 | 24 | Arkansas State |
| FS | 4th | Cam'Ron Silmon-Craig | 5'10" | 185 | 23 | Colorado; Jackson State University |
| CB | — | Christian Braswell | 5'11" | 185 | 26 | Rutgers |
| DB | — | Devin Neal | 6'0" | 214 | 23 | Virginia; Louisville; Baylor |
| DB | — | Devon Marshall | 5'11" | 200 | 21 | N.C. State; Villanova |
| DB | — | Jabbar Muhammad | 5'10" | 185 | 24 | Oregon; Washington; Oklahoma State |
| DB | — | Keni-H Lovely | 5'10" | 182 | 26 | Western Michigan |
| DB | — | Preston Hodge | 6'0" | 200 | 23 | Colorado; Liberty; Navarro |
Special Teams · 11
| Pos | Depth | Player | Ht | Wt | Age | College |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | 1st | Logan Cooke | 6'5" | 230 | 30 | Mississippi State |
| KR | 1st | Bhayshul Tuten | 5'9" | 209 | 24 | Virginia Tech |
| P | 1st | Logan Cooke | 6'5" | 230 | 30 | Mississippi State |
| PK | 1st | Cam Little | 6'1" | 172 | 22 | Arkansas |
| PR | 1st | Parker Washington | 5'10" | 204 | 24 | Penn State |
| KR | 2nd | LeQuint Allen | 6'0" | 201 | 21 | Syracuse |
| PR | 2nd | Austin Trammell | 5'10" | 185 | 27 | Rice |
| KR | 3rd | DeeJay Dallas | 5'10" | 225 | 27 | Miami |
| KR | 4th | Ameer Abdullah | 5'9" | 203 | 32 | Nebraska |
| KR | 5th | Parker Washington | 5'10" | 204 | 24 | Penn State |
| LS | — | Ross Matiscik | 6'0" | 240 | 29 | Baylor |
Team Profile
2025 · pct vs league
| Pass Off | 0.06 | #10 | 71% |
| Rush Off | 0 | #16 | 52% |
| Pass Def | -0.12 | #4 | 90% |
| Rush Def | -0.02 | #17 | 48% |
| Scoring Off | 474 | #6 | 84% |
| Scoring Def | 336 | #8 | 77% |
EPA Trend
EPA/play by season · adj
NetOffDefDef: lower = better
Performance · 2025
13-4 · +138 pt diff
| Metric | Off | Def | Rk |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPA / play (adj) | +0.067 | -0.051 | 5 |
| EPA / play (raw) | +0.056 | -0.049 | 10/6 |
| Pass EPA | +0.058 | -0.119 | 10/4 |
| Rush EPA | -0.004 | -0.025 | 16/17 |
| Points | 474 | 336 | — |
Lower def EPA = better. Ranks: 1 best, 32 worst.
Scoring Trend
2025 · pts/game
PPG For
27.9
6th in NFL
PPG Against
19.8
8th in NFL
Differential
+8.1
4th in NFL
— Points for— Points against
dots: W / LSeason Results
13-4 · 12-5 ATS
WinLossCoveredmargin per game
Situational Splits
2025 · record · pts
| Split | Record | PF | PA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Venue | |||
| Home | 7-2 | 28.1 | 17.2 |
| Away | 6-2 | 27.6 | 22.6 |
| Competition | |||
| One-score (≤8) | 6-3 | 24.7 | 24 |
| vs Winning teams | 4-3 | 22.9 | 21.1 |
| Environment | |||
| Indoors | 3-1 | 27.2 | 26.5 |
| Outdoors | 10-3 | 28.1 | 17.7 |
| Grass | 12-2 | 28.2 | 18 |
| Turf | 1-2 | 26.3 | 28 |
| Cold (<40°F) | 1-0 | 25 | 3 |
Recent Form · last 5
5-0 SU · 5-0 ATS · O4/U1
Betting Profile
2025
| Straight up | 13-4 |
| ATS | 12-571% |
| Over / Under | 10-7 O-U |
| — ATS splits — | |
| As favorite | 5-3 |
| As underdog | 7-2 |
| Home | 7-2 |
| Away | 5-3 |
vs closing line · splits show cover-no cover
Cap & Roster Construction
APY $260M· gtd $525M
OFF $113M (43%)DEF $142M (55%)ST $5.0M
| Group | Players | APY | % Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| QB | 3 | $58.3M | 22% |
| RB | 5 | $10.0M | 4% |
| WR | 6 | $38.7M | 15% |
| TE | 3 | $6.0M | 2% |
| DL | 4 | $29.9M | 12% |
| EDGE | 6 | $62.1M | 24% |
| LB | 5 | $14.4M | 6% |
| DB | 10 | $35.3M | 14% |
| ST | 2 | $5.0M | 2% |
Top Contracts
| Player | Yrs | Total | Gtd | APY | Cap% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor LawrenceQB | 5 | $275M | $142M | $55.0M | 21.5% |
| Josh Hines-AllenDE | 5 | $141M | $76.5M | $28.3M | 11.1% |
| Travon WalkerDE | 4 | $110M | $50.0M | $27.5M | 9.1% |
| Jakobi MeyersWR | 3 | $60.0M | $30.0M | $20.0M | 7.2% |
| Arik ArmsteadDT | 3 | $43.5M | $28.0M | $14.5M | 5.7% |
| Travis HunterWR | 4 | $46.6M | $46.6M | $11.7M | 4.2% |
Pending Free Agents
| Player | Free | APY |
|---|---|---|
| Davon HamiltonDT | 2026 | $11.5M |
| Arik ArmsteadDT | 2027 | $14.5M |
| Foyesade OluokunLB | 2027 | $10.0M |
| Hunter LongTE | 2027 | $2.5M |
| Nick MullensQB | 2027 | $2.3M |
| Quintin MorrisTE | 2027 | $2.0M |
| Brenton StrangeTE | 2027 | $1.5M |
| Matt DickersonDT | 2027 | $1.4M |
Roster Profile
avg age 25.6
R1 7Day2 12Day3 29UDFA 16
Homegrown 36 (56%)Acquired 28
Avg experience3.5 yrs
Rookies / Vets (8+ yr)11 / 11
| Group | Players | Avg Age |
|---|---|---|
| QB | 3 | 27.7 |
| RB | 6 | 25.7 |
| WR | 9 | 24.8 |
| TE | 5 | 25 |
| DL | 5 | 27.6 |
| EDGE | 8 | 24.6 |
| LB | 6 | 26 |
| DB | 12 | 25.2 |
| ST | 10 | 26.1 |
Injury Report · 5
last report week 19
| Pos | Player | Status |
|---|---|---|
| CB | Jourdan Lewis | IR· Foot |
| DE | Jalen McLeod | IR· Ankle |
| WR | Travis Hunter | IR· Knee |
| S | Caleb Ransaw | IR |
| LB | Jack Kiser | IR· Shoulder |
JAX News
7 items
- Jacksonville’s Deep Passing Game Takes Center Stage on OTA Day 4The deep ball is officially back on the menu in Duval. We break down everything that happened on a competitive and telling OTA Day 4 for the Jacksonville Jaguars.JAX5h
- Travis Hunter earned $12.8 million from NFLPA in his first yearIt's unknown whether Travis Hunter will become an effective two-way player in the NFL.
- Travis Hunter earned $12.8 million from NFLPA in his first yearIt's unknown whether Travis Hunter will become an effective two-way player in the NFL.
- Jaguars QB Trevor Lawrence joins Mitch Morse’s podcastSome takeaways from a rare long-form interview of Trevor Lawrence.
- Jaguars' Hunter stays unfazed by noise over his two-way playJust as he has since he was drafted in 2025, the Jaguars' Travis Hunter on Wednesday brushed aside the noise over whether he will or should play on both sides of the ball.
- AFC South win totals: Don't believe the hype around Colts, Jaguars regressionsThe Texans are slight favorites, but the AFC South remains wide open entering 2026JAX5d
- Trevor Lawrence's family, friends voiced concern over faux haircutThe Jaguars quarterback's trademark flowing blonde hair disappeared during the team's schedule reveal video.