Division
AFC South
2026 Outlook
Projected wins
10.0p10 7.0 — p90 12.0
| Round | Prob | Bar |
|---|---|---|
| Win division | 20.4% | |
| Make playoffs | 67.9% | |
| Divisional rd. | 39.9% | |
| Conf. champ. | 19.7% | |
| Super Bowl | 9.7% | |
| Win SB | 5.3% |
2026 Schedule · SOS
proj 9.8–7.2·rank 16 / 32
SOS Net
+0.07
Opp Off
-0.33
Opp Def
-0.40
| Wk | Opp | Opp | Proj | Win% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vsBAL | +1.3 | +3.7 | 61% |
| 2 | @KC | +1.4 | -0.4 | 49% |
| 3 | vsHOU | +5.7 | -0.8 | 48% |
| 4 | @WAS | -0.8 | +1.8 | 55% |
| 5 | @PIT | -0.4 | +1.3 | 54% |
| 6 | vsTEN | -4.8 | +9.8 | 76% |
| 7 | @MIN | +0.0 | +0.9 | 53% |
| 8 | @JAX | +4.2 | -3.3 | 40% |
| 9 | vsDAL | -2.3 | +7.3 | 70% |
| 10 | vsMIA | -2.4 | +7.3 | 71% |
| 11 | @HOU | +5.7 | -4.8 | 36% |
| 12 | vsNYG | -1.8 | +6.8 | 69% |
| 14 | @PHI | +1.4 | -0.4 | 49% |
| 15 | @TEN | -4.8 | +5.8 | 66% |
| 16 | vsCIN | -1.7 | +6.6 | 69% |
| 17 | @CLE | -3.6 | +4.6 | 63% |
| 18 | vsJAX | +4.2 | +0.7 | 52% |
Quarterbacks · 4
| Pos | Depth | Player | Ht | Wt | Age | College |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QB | 1st | Daniel Jones | 6'5" | 230 | 29 | Duke |
| QB | 2nd | Anthony Richardson | 6'4" | 244 | 24 | Florida |
| QB | 3rd | Riley Leonard | 6'4" | 213 | 23 | Notre Dame |
| QB | — | Seth Henigan | 6'3" | 215 | 23 | Memphis |
Running Backs · 6
| Pos | Depth | Player | Ht | Wt | Age | College |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB | 1st | Jonathan Taylor | 5'10" | 226 | 27 | Wisconsin |
| RB | 2nd | DJ Giddens | 6'0" | 212 | 22 | Kansas State |
| RB | 3rd | Seth McGowan | 6'0" | 223 | 24 | Kentucky |
| RB | 4th | Ulysses Bentley | 5'10" | 200 | 25 | Ole Miss |
| RB | — | Anderson Castle | 6'0" | 220 | — | Duke; Appalachian State |
| RB | — | Lincoln Pare | 5'9" | 200 | 24 | Texas State-San Marcos; Arkansas State |
Wide Receivers · 12
| Pos | Depth | Player | Ht | Wt | Age | College |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WR | 1st | Alec Pierce | 6'3" | 211 | 26 | Cincinnati |
| WR | 2nd | Josh Downs | 5'9" | 171 | 24 | North Carolina |
| WR | 3rd | Nick Westbrook-Ikhine | 6'2" | 211 | 29 | Indiana |
| WR | 4th | Ashton Dulin | 6'2" | 215 | 29 | Malone University |
| WR | 5th | Deion Burks | 5'9" | 180 | 23 | Oklahoma |
| WR | 6th | Anthony Gould | 5'8" | 174 | 25 | Oregon State |
| WR | 7th | Laquon Treadwell | 6'2" | 215 | 30 | Mississippi |
| WR | 8th | Coleman Owen | 5'10" | 181 | 25 | Ohio |
| WR | 9th | Eli Pancol | 6'3" | 205 | 25 | Duke |
| WR | — | E.J. Horton | 6'1" | 190 | 25 | Purdue; Florida Atlantic; West Virginia; Marshall |
| WR | — | Raylen Sharpe | 5'9" | 169 | 24 | Arkansas; Fresno State; Missouri State; Houston |
| WR | — | Sahmir Hagans | 5'10" | 190 | — | Duke |
Tight Ends · 6
| Pos | Depth | Player | Ht | Wt | Age | College |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TE | 1st | Tyler Warren | 6'6" | 256 | 24 | Penn State |
| TE | 2nd | Mo Alie-Cox | 6'5" | 267 | 32 | Virginia Commonwealth |
| TE | 3rd | Drew Ogletree | 6'5" | 260 | 27 | Youngstown State |
| TE | 4th | Will Mallory | 6'4" | 239 | 26 | Miami (FL) |
| TE | 5th | Sean McKeon | 6'5" | 255 | 28 | Michigan |
| TE | — | Carson Towt | 6'8" | 250 | 25 | Notre Dame; Northern Arizona |
Offensive Line · 15
| Pos | Depth | Player | Ht | Wt | Age | College |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OL | — | Bayron Matos | 6'7" | 334 | 25 | University of South Florida; New Mexico |
| OL | — | Bernhard Raimann | 6'6" | 303 | 28 | Central Michigan |
| OL | — | Blake Freeland | 6'7" | 302 | 25 | BYU |
| OL | — | Dalton Tucker | 6'6" | 307 | 26 | Marshall |
| OL | — | Geno VanDeMark | 6'5" | 326 | — | Alabama; Michigan State |
| OL | — | Jalen Farmer | 6'5" | 317 | 21 | Kentucky |
| OL | — | Jalen Travis | 6'8" | 339 | 24 | Iowa State; Princeton |
| OL | — | Jimmy Morrissey | 6'4" | 305 | 27 | Pittsburgh |
| OL | — | Josh Sills | 6'6" | 325 | 28 | Oklahoma State; West Virginia |
| OL | — | LaDarius Henderson | 6'4" | 309 | 24 | Michigan; Arizona State |
| OL | — | Luke Tenuta | 6'8" | 315 | 26 | Virginia Tech |
| OL | — | Matt Goncalves | 6'6" | 317 | 25 | Pittsburgh |
| OL | — | Nolan Rucci | 6'8" | 314 | 23 | Penn State; Wisconsin |
| OL | — | Quenton Nelson | 6'5" | 330 | 30 | Notre Dame |
| OL | — | Tanor Bortolini | 6'4" | 303 | 23 | Wisconsin |
Interior D-Line · 9
| Pos | Depth | Player | Ht | Wt | Age | College |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LDT | 1st | Grover Stewart | 6'4" | 314 | 32 | Albany State (GA) |
| RDT | 1st | DeForest Buckner | 6'7" | 295 | 32 | Oregon |
| LDT | 2nd | Colby Wooden | 6'4" | 273 | 25 | Auburn |
| RDT | 2nd | Adetomiwa Adebawore | 6'2" | 282 | 25 | Northwestern |
| LDT | 3rd | Tim Smith | 6'4" | 306 | 23 | Alabama |
| RDT | 3rd | Jerry Tillery | 6'6" | 295 | 29 | Notre Dame |
| RDT | 4th | Derrick Nnadi | 6'1" | 317 | 30 | Florida State |
| DL | — | Cameron Ball | 6'3" | 310 | 23 | Arkansas |
| DL | — | Mitchell Melton | 6'3" | 253 | 24 | Virginia; Ohio State |
Edge Rushers · 5
| Pos | Depth | Player | Ht | Wt | Age | College |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LDE | 1st | JT Tuimoloau | 6'4" | 264 | 23 | Ohio State |
| RDE | 1st | Laiatu Latu | 6'5" | 265 | 25 | UCLA |
| LDE | 2nd | Micheal Clemons | 6'5" | 263 | 28 | Texas A&M |
| RDE | 2nd | Arden Key | 6'5" | 240 | 30 | LSU |
| RDE | 3rd | Caden Curry | 6'2" | 257 | 23 | Ohio State |
Linebackers · 9
| Pos | Depth | Player | Ht | Wt | Age | College |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MLB | 1st | CJ Allen | 6'0" | 235 | 21 | Georgia |
| SLB | 1st | Bryce Boettcher | 6'1" | 230 | 23 | Oregon |
| WLB | 1st | Akeem Davis-Gaither | 6'2" | 238 | 28 | Appalachian State |
| MLB | 2nd | Austin Ajiake | 6'1" | 223 | 25 | UNLV |
| WLB | 2nd | Jaylon Carlies | 6'3" | 227 | 24 | Missouri |
| LDE | 4th | Durell Nchami | 6'4" | 258 | 26 | Maryland |
| LB | — | Devin Veresuk | 6'2" | 240 | 24 | |
| LB | — | Tahj Chambers | 6'2" | 230 | 26 | Mississippi; Missouri State |
| LB | — | West Weeks | 6'1" | 230 | 23 | LSU; Virginia |
Defensive Backs · 20
| Pos | Depth | Player | Ht | Wt | Age | College |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FS | 1st | Camryn Bynum | 6'0" | 200 | 27 | California |
| LCB | 1st | Sauce Gardner | 6'3" | 190 | 24 | Cincinnati |
| NB | 1st | Justin Walley | 5'10" | 190 | 23 | Minnesota |
| RCB | 1st | Charvarius Ward | 6'1" | 196 | 30 | Middle Tennessee State |
| SS | 1st | Juanyeh Thomas | 6'3" | 217 | 25 | Notre Dame |
| FS | 2nd | A.J. Haulcy | 5'11" | 215 | 22 | LSU |
| LCB | 2nd | Johnathan Edwards | 6'1" | 200 | 24 | Tulane |
| RCB | 2nd | Cam Taylor-Britt | 5'11" | 200 | 26 | Nebraska |
| SS | 2nd | Daniel Scott | 6'1" | 208 | 27 | California |
| FS | 3rd | Jonathan Owens | 5'11" | 204 | 30 | Missouri Western |
| RCB | 3rd | Mekhi Blackmon | 5'11" | 178 | 27 | USC |
| SS | 3rd | Reuben Lowery | 5'9" | 204 | 23 | Tennessee-Chattanooga |
| FS | 4th | Hunter Wohler | 6'2" | 213 | 23 | Wisconsin |
| RCB | 4th | Cameron Mitchell | 5'11" | 191 | 24 | Northwestern |
| FS | 5th | Trey Washington | 5'10" | 205 | 23 | Mississippi |
| RCB | 5th | Jaylon Jones | 6'2" | 203 | 24 | Texas A&M |
| DB | — | Austin Brown | 5'11" | 199 | 22 | Wisconsin |
| DB | — | Ben Nikkel | 6'1" | 210 | 25 | Iowa State; McPherson College |
| DB | — | Rob Carter Jr. | 5'10" | 175 | 23 | Robert Morris |
| DB | — | Wyett Ekeler | 5'11" | 210 | 25 | Wyoming |
Special Teams · 10
| Pos | Depth | Player | Ht | Wt | Age | College |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | 1st | Rigoberto Sanchez | 6'0" | 195 | 31 | Hawai'i |
| KR | 1st | Anthony Gould | 5'8" | 174 | 25 | Oregon State |
| LS | 1st | Luke Rhodes | 6'2" | 238 | 33 | William & Mary |
| P | 1st | Rigoberto Sanchez | 6'0" | 195 | 31 | Hawai'i |
| PR | 1st | Anthony Gould | 5'8" | 174 | 25 | Oregon State |
| KR | 2nd | Ashton Dulin | 6'2" | 215 | 29 | Malone University |
| PK | 2nd | Spencer Shrader | 6'2" | 201 | 27 | Notre Dame |
| PR | 2nd | Josh Downs | 5'9" | 171 | 24 | North Carolina |
| KR | 3rd | Coleman Owen | 5'10" | 181 | 25 | Ohio |
| PR | 3rd | Coleman Owen | 5'10" | 181 | 25 | Ohio |
Team Profile
2025 · pct vs league
| Pass Off | 0.06 | #12 | 65% |
| Rush Off | 0.09 | #3 | 94% |
| Pass Def | 0.04 | #18 | 45% |
| Rush Def | -0.05 | #10 | 71% |
| Scoring Off | 466 | #8 | 77% |
| Scoring Def | 412 | #21 | 35% |
EPA Trend
EPA/play by season · adj
NetOffDefDef: lower = better
Performance · 2025
8-9 · +54 pt diff
| Metric | Off | Def | Rk |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPA / play (adj) | +0.115 | +0.033 | 8 |
| EPA / play (raw) | +0.086 | +0.032 | 5/20 |
| Pass EPA | +0.056 | +0.040 | 12/18 |
| Rush EPA | +0.094 | -0.050 | 3/10 |
| Points | 466 | 412 | — |
Lower def EPA = better. Ranks: 1 best, 32 worst.
Scoring Trend
2025 · pts/game
PPG For
27.4
8th in NFL
PPG Against
24.2
21st in NFL
Differential
+3.2
11th in NFL
— Points for— Points against
dots: W / LSeason Results
8-9 · 9-8 ATS
WinLossCoveredmargin per game
Situational Splits
2025 · record · pts
| Split | Record | PF | PA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Venue | |||
| Home | 6-3 | 29.1 | 22.1 |
| Away | 2-6 | 25.5 | 26.6 |
| Competition | |||
| One-score (≤8) | 3-7 | 23 | 25.6 |
| vs Winning teams | 2-8 | 23.2 | 28.9 |
| Environment | |||
| Indoors | 7-5 | 29.2 | 24 |
| Outdoors | 1-4 | 23.2 | 24.8 |
| Grass | 2-3 | 26.2 | 26.2 |
| Turf | 6-6 | 27.9 | 23.4 |
Recent Form · last 5
0-5 SU · 2-3 ATS · O3/U2
Betting Profile
2025
| Straight up | 8-9 |
| ATS | 9-853% |
| Over / Under | 9-8 O-U |
| — ATS splits — | |
| As favorite | 5-3 |
| As underdog | 4-5 |
| Home | 4-5 |
| Away | 5-3 |
vs closing line · splits show cover-no cover
Cap & Roster Construction
APY $272M· gtd $406M
OFF $121M (44%)DEF $148M (54%)ST $3.8M
| Group | Players | APY | % Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| QB | 3 | $53.6M | 20% |
| RB | 3 | $16.0M | 6% |
| WR | 8 | $38.9M | 14% |
| TE | 5 | $12.4M | 5% |
| DL | 7 | $42.2M | 15% |
| EDGE | 4 | $20.4M | 7% |
| LB | 5 | $7.4M | 3% |
| DB | 15 | $77.5M | 28% |
| ST | 2 | $3.8M | 1% |
Top Contracts
| Player | Yrs | Total | Gtd | APY | Cap% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daniel JonesQB | 2 | $88.0M | $49.5M | $44.0M | 14.6% |
| Sauce GardnerCB | 4 | $120M | $40.5M | $30.1M | 10.8% |
| Alec PierceWR | 4 | $114M | $60.0M | $28.5M | 9.5% |
| DeForest BucknerDT | 2 | $46.0M | $43.2M | $23.0M | 9.0% |
| Charvarius WardCB | 3 | $54.0M | $27.0M | $18.0M | 6.4% |
| Camryn BynumS | 4 | $60.0M | $26.0M | $15.0M | 5.4% |
Pending Free Agents
| Player | Free | APY |
|---|---|---|
| DeForest BucknerDT | 2026 | $23.0M |
| Jonathan TaylorRB | 2026 | $14.0M |
| Grover StewartDT | 2027 | $13.0M |
| Anthony RichardsonQB | 2027 | $8.5M |
| Ashton DulinWR | 2027 | $3.3M |
| Akeem Davis-GaitherLB | 2027 | $2.7M |
| Mo Alie-CoxTE | 2027 | $2.7M |
| Rigoberto SanchezPN | 2027 | $2.5M |
Roster Profile
avg age 26.1
R1 8Day2 12Day3 23UDFA 22
Homegrown 28 (43%)Acquired 37
Avg experience3.7 yrs
Rookies / Vets (8+ yr)6 / 11
| Group | Players | Avg Age |
|---|---|---|
| QB | 3 | 25.3 |
| RB | 4 | 24.5 |
| WR | 9 | 26.2 |
| TE | 5 | 27.4 |
| DL | 7 | 28 |
| EDGE | 5 | 25.8 |
| LB | 6 | 24.5 |
| DB | 16 | 25.1 |
| ST | 10 | 27.5 |
Injury Report · 12
last report week 18
| Pos | Player | Status |
|---|---|---|
| DT | DeForest Buckner | IR· Neck |
| QB | Daniel Jones | IR· Fibula |
| TE | Drew Ogletree | IR· Neck |
| CB | Cam Taylor-Britt | IR· Foot |
| S | Daniel Scott | PUP-Vested· Knee |
| OL | Blake Freeland | IR· Back |
| QB | Anthony Richardson | PUP-Vested· Eye |
| WR | Anthony Gould | IR· Foot |
| S | Hunter Wohler | IR |
| PK | Spencer Shrader | IR· Right Hamstring |
| CB | Charvarius Ward | IR· Groin |
| CB | Justin Walley | IR |
IND News
7 items
- Colts' Daniel Jones cleared for 7-on-7 work, 'looked good'Colts quarterback Daniel Jones was cleared to participate in seven-on-seven drills Monday, marking yet another significant step in his comeback from a torn right Achilles tendon.
- Reviewing the Chris Ballard era: The 2021 draft classReviewing the Colts’ 2021 draft class, a group with useful production but no long-term core pieces.IND14h
- Colts training camp battle early preview: Right TackleThis training camp positional battle may have less intrigue than initially anticipated.IND1d
- A Decade of Chris Ballard: 2016 VS 2026 Colts OGsAre the Colts better off or worse off after a decade of Ballard at the helm? Here’s how the Offensive Guards have changed since 10 years ago pre-Ballard.IND1d
- A Decade of Chris Ballard: 2016 VS 2026 Colts OTsAre the Colts better off or worse off after a decade of Ballard at the helm? Here’s how the Offensive Tackles have changed since 10 years ago pre-Ballard.IND3d
- Colts' Anthony Richardson vague on trade request, focused on jobColts QB Anthony Richardson faces an uncertain future in Indianapolis and hasn't rescinded his recent trade request. But he's not letting any of that stand in the way of doing his job, he said Wednesday.
- NFL OTA buzz: Latest from Mike Vrabel, Daniel Jones returns, Seahawks make tradeFrom Mike Vrabel addressing his offseason drama to Daniel Jones returning from his Achilles injury, we break down the biggest storylines and highlights from this week's NFL OTAs