NFL Terminal — NFL projections, playoff odds & analytics

Division

AFC North

Team	2025 Rec	Win Div	Playoff
PIT	10-7	25%	40%
BAL	8-9	49%	63%
CIN	6-11	17%	29%
CLE	5-12	9%	17%

Record = 2025 final · odds = 2026 simulation

2026 Outlook

Projected wins

7.0p10 4.0 — p90 9.0

Round	Prob	Bar
Win division	9.3%
Make playoffs	16.8%
Divisional rd.	6.1%
Conf. champ.	1.9%
Super Bowl	0.4%
Win SB	0.2%

2026 Schedule · SOS

proj 7.1–9.9·rank 30 / 32

SOS Net

-0.85

Opp Off

-0.33

Opp Def

+0.52

Wk	Opp	Opp	Proj	Win%
1	@JAX	+4.2	-9.8	23%
2	@TB	-0.3	-5.3	35%
3	vsCAR	-1.8	+0.2	51%
4	vsPIT	-0.4	-1.3	46%
5	@NYJ	-6.9	+1.3	54%
6	vsBAL	+1.3	-2.9	42%
7	@TEN	-4.8	-0.8	48%
8	@PIT	-0.4	-5.3	35%
9	@NO	-3.3	-2.3	43%
10	vsHOU	+5.7	-7.3	29%
12	vsLV	-5.3	+3.7	61%
13	vsCIN	-1.7	+0.1	50%
14	vsATL	-1.5	-0.1	50%
15	@NYG	-1.8	-3.8	39%
16	@BAL	+1.3	-6.9	30%
17	vsIND	+2.9	-4.6	37%
18	@CIN	-1.7	-3.9	39%

Quarterbacks · 4

Pos	Depth	Player	Ht	Wt	Age	College
QB	1st	Deshaun Watson	6'3"	223	30	Clemson
QB	2nd	Shedeur Sanders	6'2"	212	24	Colorado
QB	3rd	Dillon Gabriel	5'11"	205	25	Oregon
QB	4th	Taylen Green	6'6"	230	23	Arkansas

Running Backs · 7

Pos	Depth	Player	Ht	Wt	Age	College
FB	1st	Michael Burton	6'0"	247	34	Rutgers
RB	1st	Quinshon Judkins	5'11"	221	22	Ohio State
RB	2nd	Dylan Sampson	5'8"	200	21	Tennessee
RB	3rd	Raheim Sanders	6'0"	230	23	South Carolina
RB	4th	Ahmani Marshall	6'1"	225	24	Appalachian State
RB	5th	Davon Booth	5'8"	192	24	Mississippi State; Utah State
RB	—	TJ Harden	6'0"	218	22	SMU; UCLA

Wide Receivers · 12

Pos	Depth	Player	Ht	Wt	Age	College
WR	1st	Jerry Jeudy	6'1"	195	27	Alabama
WR	2nd	KC Concepcion	5'11"	195	21	Texas A&M
WR	3rd	Denzel Boston	6'4"	207	22	Washington
WR	4th	Cedric Tillman	6'3"	215	26	Tennessee
WR	5th	Isaiah Bond	5'11"	180	22	Texas
WR	6th	Tylan Wallace	5'11"	200	27	Oklahoma State
WR	7th	Malachi Corley	5'11"	215	24	Western Kentucky
WR	8th	Jamari Thrash	6'0"	190	25	Louisville
WR	9th	Gage Larvadain	5'8"	171	23	South Carolina
WR	10th	Luke Floriea	5'8"	179	24	Kent State
WR	11th	Aaron Anderson	5'8"	188	23	LSU
WR	—	Kole Wilson	5'7"	177	—	Baylor; Texas State-San Marcos

Tight Ends · 6

Pos	Depth	Player	Ht	Wt	Age	College
TE	1st	Harold Fannin	6'4"	241	21	Bowling Green
TE	2nd	Jack Stoll	6'4"	247	28	Nebraska
TE	3rd	Joe Royer	6'5"	250	24	Cincinnati
TE	4th	Blake Whiteheart	6'4"	250	26	Wake Forest
TE	5th	Carsen Ryan	6'3"	255	22	BYU
TE	6th	Brenden Bates	6'5"	255	26	Kentucky

Offensive Line · 17

Pos	Depth	Player	Ht	Wt	Age	College
OL	—	Austin Barber	6'7"	320	23	Florida
OL	—	Dawand Jones	6'8"	375	24	Ohio State
OL	—	Elgton Jenkins	6'5"	311	30	Mississippi State
OL	—	Izavion Miller	6'5"	305	—	Auburn; Southwest Mississippi JC
OL	—	Jack Conley	6'7"	333	24	Boston College
OL	—	Jeremiah Byers	6'4"	320	25	Florida State; Texas-El Paso
OL	—	KT Leveston	6'4"	335	26	Kansas State
OL	—	Kendrick Green	6'4"	315	27	Illinois
OL	—	Kingsley Eguakun	6'3"	305	25	Florida
OL	—	Luke Wypler	6'3"	303	25	Ohio State
OL	—	Parker Brailsford	6'2"	290	22	Alabama; Washington
OL	—	Spencer Fano	6'6"	315	23	Utah
OL	—	Teven Jenkins	6'6"	320	28	Oklahoma State
OL	—	Tyre Phillips	6'5"	330	29	Mississippi State; East Mississippi JC
OL	—	Tytus Howard	6'5"	320	30	Alabama State
OL	—	Zak Zinter	6'6"	310	25	Michigan
OL	—	Zion Johnson	6'3"	316	26	Boston College; Davidson

Interior D-Line · 8

Pos	Depth	Player	Ht	Wt	Age	College
LDT	1st	Mason Graham	6'4"	315	22	Michigan
RDT	1st	Maliek Collins	6'2"	310	31	Nebraska
LDT	2nd	Kalia Davis	6'2"	310	27	UCF
RDT	2nd	Michael Hall Jr.	6'3"	300	22	Ohio State
RDT	3rd	Sam Kamara	6'0"	272	28	Stony Brook
DL	—	Khordae Sydnor	6'4"	264	22	Vanderbilt; Purdue
DL	—	Logan Fano	6'5"	252	23	Utah; BYU
DL	—	Tyreak Sapp	6'3"	272	23	Florida

Edge Rushers · 7

Pos	Depth	Player	Ht	Wt	Age	College
LDE	1st	Alex Wright	6'5"	267	25	UAB
LDE	2nd	Isaiah McGuire	6'4"	268	24	Missouri
RDE	2nd	Julian Okwara	6'4"	250	28	Notre Dame
LDT	3rd	Adin Huntington	6'1"	281	24	Tulane
RDE	4th	Markees Watts	6'1"	240	26	Charlotte
RDT	4th	Elijah Chatman	6'0"	278	25	SMU
DE	—	Myles Garrett	6'4"	272	30	Texas A&M

Linebackers · 9

Pos	Depth	Player	Ht	Wt	Age	College
MLB	1st	Carson Schwesinger	6'3"	242	23	UCLA
SLB	1st	Quincy Williams	5'11"	230	29	Murray State
WLB	1st	Winston Reid	6'0"	225	26	Weber State
MLB	2nd	Nathaniel Watson	6'0"	233	25	Mississippi State
SLB	2nd	Justin Jefferson	6'0"	223	23	Alabama
WLB	2nd	Easton Mascarenas-Arnold	5'11"	226	23	USC; Oregon State
MLB	3rd	Edefuan Ulofoshio	6'1"	239	26	Washington
WLB	4th	Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah	6'2"	221	26	Notre Dame
LB	—	Reid Carrico	6'2"	230	—	West Virginia; Ohio State

Defensive Backs · 16

Pos	Depth	Player	Ht	Wt	Age	College
LCB	1st	Denzel Ward	5'11"	190	29	Ohio State
NB	1st	Myles Harden	5'11"	195	24	South Dakota
RCB	1st	Tyson Campbell	6'1"	195	26	Georgia
SS	1st	Grant Delpit	6'3"	208	27	LSU
FS	2nd	Emmanuel McNeil-Warren	6'4"	201	22	Toledo
NB	2nd	Myles Bryant	5'9"	192	28	Washington
SS	2nd	Christopher Edmonds	6'2"	210	24	Arizona State; Samford
FS	3rd	Daniel Thomas	5'10"	215	27	Auburn
RCB	3rd	D'Angelo Ross	5'9"	190	29	New Mexico
FS	4th	Donovan McMillon	6'1"	208	23	Pittsburgh
RCB	4th	Tre Avery	5'11"	185	29	Rutgers
DB	—	Dom Jones	6'2"	192	25	Colorado State; North Dakota State
DB	—	Michael Coats Jr.	5'9"	184	24	West Virginia; Nevada; East Central JC
DB	—	Nate Evans	5'11"	191	23	Delaware; N.C. State
DB	—	Tyron Herring	6'2"	195	25	Delaware; Dartmouth
DB	—	Zion Washington	6'1"	208	—	Boise State

Special Teams · 12

Pos	Depth	Player	Ht	Wt	Age	College
H	1st	Corey Bojorquez	6'0"	217	29	New Mexico
KR	1st	Malachi Corley	5'11"	215	24	Western Kentucky
P	1st	Corey Bojorquez	6'0"	217	29	New Mexico
PK	1st	Andre Szmyt	6'0"	200	27	Syracuse
PR	1st	Gage Larvadain	5'8"	171	23	South Carolina
KR	2nd	Dylan Sampson	5'8"	200	21	Tennessee
PR	2nd	Isaiah Bond	5'11"	180	22	Texas
KR	3rd	Tylan Wallace	5'11"	200	27	Oklahoma State
PR	3rd	KC Concepcion	5'11"	195	21	Texas A&M
LS	—	Rex Sunahara	6'6"	242	29	West Virginia
P	—	Nik Constantinou	6'3"	225	26	Texas A&M
P	—	Wes Pahl	6'4"	207	—	Oklahoma State

Team Profile

2025 · pct vs league

Pass Off	-0.29	#32	0%
Rush Off	-0.05	#26	19%
Pass Def	-0.13	#3	94%
Rush Def	-0.05	#7	81%
Scoring Off	279	#31	3%
Scoring Def	379	#14	58%

EPA Trend

EPA/play by season · adj

NetOffDefDef: lower = better

Performance · 2025

5-12 · -100 pt diff

Metric	Off	Def	Rk
EPA / play (adj)	-0.186	-0.077	28
EPA / play (raw)	-0.159	-0.072	32/4
Pass EPA	-0.288	-0.132	32/3
Rush EPA	-0.048	-0.053	26/7
Points	279	379	—

Lower def EPA = better. Ranks: 1 best, 32 worst.

Team Leaders

2025

Passing Yds	Sanders1,400·Gabriel937
Rushing Yds	Judkins827·Sampson175·Sanders169
Receiving Yds	Fannin731·Jeudy602·Bond338
Sacks	Garrett23.0·Collins6.5·Wright5.5
Interceptions	Bush3·Hickman2·Schwesinger2
Solo Tackles	Bush61·Schwesinger58·Campbell54

Scoring Trend

2025 · pts/game

PPG For

16.4

31st in NFL

PPG Against

22.3

14th in NFL

Differential

-5.9

28th in NFL

— Points for— Points against

dots: W / L

Season Results

5-12 · 8-9 ATS

WinLossCoveredmargin per game

Situational Splits

2025 · record · pts

Split	Record	PF	PA
Venue
Home	3-6	18.1	18.1
Away	2-6	14.5	27
Competition
One-score (≤8)	3-6	18.2	19.6
vs Winning teams	2-7	11.8	22.9
Environment
Indoors	1-1	17	22
Outdoors	4-11	16.3	22.3
Grass	4-9	16.6	20.6
Turf	1-3	15.8	27.8
Cold (<40°F)	1-4	16	25.8

Recent Form · last 5

2-3 SU · 3-2 ATS · O2/U3

Wk	Opp	Score	Mgn	Spread	Total
18	@CIN	W 20-18	+2	-9.5✓	47.5U
17	vsPIT	W 13-6	+7	-4.5✓	35.5U
16	vsBUF	L 20-23	-3	-10.5✓	41.5O
15	@CHI	L 3-31	-28	-7.5✗	38.5U
14	vsTEN	L 29-31	-2	+4.5✗	33.5O

Betting Profile

2025

Straight up	5-12
ATS	8-947%
Over / Under	8-9 O-U
— ATS splits —
As favorite	7-7
As underdog	1-2
Home	6-3
Away	2-6

vs closing line · splits show cover-no cover

Cap & Roster Construction

APY $217M· gtd $499M

OFF $86.6M (40%)DEF $127M (59%)ST $3.0M

Group	Players	APY	% Total
QB	3	$48.7M	22%
RB	5	$7.4M	3%
WR	8	$25.3M	12%
TE	4	$5.2M	2%
DL	5	$25.2M	12%
EDGE	6	$16.5M	8%
LB	7	$26.0M	12%
DB	10	$59.5M	27%
ST	2	$3.0M	1%

Top Contracts

Player	Yrs	Total	Gtd	APY	Cap%
Deshaun WatsonQB	5	$230M	$230M	$46.0M	22.1%
Denzel WardCB	5	$101M	$44.5M	$20.1M	9.7%
Tyson CampbellCB	4	$76.5M	$31.4M	$19.1M	7.5%
Jerry JeudyWR	3	$52.5M	$41.0M	$17.5M	6.9%
Jeremiah Owusu-KoramoahLB	3	$37.5M	$20.0M	$12.5M	4.9%
Grant DelpitS	3	$36.0M	$14.9M	$12.0M	5.3%

Pending Free Agents

Player	Free	APY
Grant DelpitS	2026	$12.0M
Deshaun WatsonQB	2027	$46.0M
Denzel WardCB	2027	$20.1M
Jerry JeudyWR	2027	$17.5M
Jeremiah Owusu-KoramoahLB	2027	$12.5M
Maliek CollinsDT	2027	$10.0M
Kalia DavisDT	2027	$2.0M
Corey BojorquezPN	2027	$2.0M

Roster Profile

avg age 25.1

R1 6Day2 17Day3 17UDFA 26

Homegrown 25 (38%)Acquired 41

Avg experience3.0 yrs

Rookies / Vets (8+ yr)10 / 6

Group	Players	Avg Age
QB	4	25.5
RB	6	24.7
WR	11	24
TE	6	24.5
DL	5	26
EDGE	6	25.3
LB	8	25.1
DB	11	26.2
ST	9	24.8

Injury Report · 10

last report week 21

Pos	Player	Status
RB	Michael Burton	IR· Foot
DT	Maliek Collins	IR· Not injury related - resting player
OL	Elgton Jenkins	IR· Hip
TE	Jack Stoll	IR· Knee
OL	Dawand Jones	IR· Knee
LB	Winston Reid	PUP-Vested· Back
RB	Quinshon Judkins	IR· Not injury related - personal matter
LB	Carson Schwesinger	IR· Ankle
LB	Nathaniel Watson	IR· Quadricep
DB	Dom Jones	IR

CLE News

20 items

Rams had been working on Myles Garrett trade for weeks
The massive trade between the Los Angeles Rams and the Cleveland Browns didn’t happen overnight
CLE Myles Garrett47m
Myles Garrett bids farewell to Cleveland: I wish I could have done more for you
The Browns drafted Myles Garrett with the first overall pick in 2017.
CLE Myles Garrett2h
What Myles Garrett going to the Rams means for the Cardinals
Huge trade places an advantage in the division
CLE Myles Garrett2h
Cowboys had interest in trade for Myles Garrett, should move to this new target
Do you think the Cowboys will trade for a pass rusher before training camp?
CLE Myles Garrett3h
Browns: Jared Verse was the key that unlocked the Myles Garrett trade
Cleveland GM Andrew Berry held firm that he needed more than just draft picks if he was going to trade Garrett.
CLE3h
Myles Garrett traded: Making sense of the Rams-Browns deal
Does Myles Garrett really put the Rams over the top? Will the Browns regret the move? And how does Jared Verse fit in? Let's size up this massive trade.
CLE Jared Verse3h
Will Myles Garrett trade inspire Aaron Donald to end retirement? Rams player hopes so
The Rams made a blockbuster trade for Myles Garrett and one of their cornerbacks is hoping that might convince Aaron Donald to unretire.
CLE Myles Garrett4h
Rams are operating like another Super Bowl is their destiny – why not? | Opinion
Beware NFL, the Rams are were already the Super Bowl 61 favorite. Then they got a lot better with the addition of All-Pro Myles Garrett.
CLE Myles Garrett4h
Super Bowl LXI odds: All 32 teams' odds to win the championship
Every NFL team's win total, as well as odds to win their division, the conference and Super Bowl LXI.
CLE4h
Myles Garrett’s Browns career in numbers: Stats, wins, honors, and contract salary
From the 1st overall pick in the 2017 NFL draft to the LA Rams trade, Myles Garrett’s Cleveland Browns career in numbers
CLE Myles Garrett5h
Todd Monken dropped truth bomb about Myles Garrett before Rams trade became reality
The Los Angeles Rams may have completed the biggest trade of the NFL offseason, but comments from Cleveland Browns head coach Todd Monken suggest the groundwork for the deal was laid long before it became official.
CLE Myles Garrett5h
Todd Monken believes it'd be 'slippery slope' for Browns to acquire Brendan Sorsby considering QB's gambling issues
If Sorsby isn't granted an injunction, and his college career is in fact over, he can file for entry into the NFL supplemental draft
CLE5h
From Ohtani to Luka to Myles Garrett, LA gets what it wants | Opinion
The blockbuster trade bringing Myles Garrett to Los Angeles reinforced this city's reputation as almost unstoppable in landing superstars.
CLE Myles Garrett5h
All in 2.0: Rams' Myles Garrett trade signals push for second SoFi Super Bowl win; how move fixes big weakness
Los Angeles' historic pairing of Garrett, the 2025 Defensive Player of the Year, and Matthew Stafford, the 2025 MVP, means they're fully all in once again.
CLE Myles Garrett6h
Uniting DPOY Myles Garrett with MVP Matthew Stafford, Rams and Browns just made trade that could define 2026 season — and perhaps 2027 NFL Draft
The acquisition of a high-impact starting EDGE this year was a must in the Browns signing off on a deal, multiple sources told Yahoo Sports on Monday.
CLE6h
Did the Bills miss the boat on Myles Garrett?
Should the Buffalo Bills have pulled off a trade for Myles Garrett at all costs?
CLE Myles Garrett6h
Ranking NFL's greatest trades of all-time: Here's where Myles Garrett to Rams fits on list
The Garrett trade is one of the largest in league annals
CLE Myles Garrett6h
The Rams fleeced the Browns for Myles Garrett
The Browns traded a two-time Defensive Player of the Year to the Rams for much less than he deserved
CLE Myles Garrett6h
Dee and Jimmy Haslam: Trading Myles Garrett wasn't our intent, but this is the right move for us
It's official: Myles Garrett is headed to Los Angeles.
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Myles Garrett traded from Browns to Rams as Los Angeles goes all in for Super Bowl run
Los Angeles is loading up for a Super Bowl run by acquiring the reigning Defensive Player of the Year in a historic blockbuster trade
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