Division
NFC South
2026 Outlook
Projected wins
8.0p10 5.0 — p90 10.0
| Round | Prob | Bar |
|---|---|---|
| Win division | 18.6% | |
| Make playoffs | 27.8% | |
| Divisional rd. | 11.8% | |
| Conf. champ. | 4.0% | |
| Super Bowl | 1.3% | |
| Win SB | 0.6% |
2026 Schedule · SOS
proj 7.7–9.3·rank 22 / 32
SOS Net
-0.11
Opp Off
-0.83
Opp Def
-0.72
| Wk | Opp | Opp | Proj | Win% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | vsCHI | +0.2 | -0.0 | 50% |
| 2 | @ATL | -1.5 | -2.3 | 43% |
| 3 | @CLE | -3.6 | -0.2 | 49% |
| 4 | vsDET | +2.0 | -1.8 | 45% |
| 6 | @PHI | +1.4 | -5.2 | 35% |
| 7 | vsTB | -0.3 | +0.5 | 51% |
| 8 | @GB | +0.5 | -4.3 | 37% |
| 9 | vsDEN | +1.4 | -1.3 | 46% |
| 10 | @NO | -3.3 | -0.5 | 48% |
| 11 | vsBAL | +1.3 | -1.1 | 47% |
| 12 | @TB | -0.3 | -3.5 | 40% |
| 13 | @MIN | +0.0 | -3.8 | 39% |
| 14 | vsNO | -3.3 | +3.5 | 60% |
| 15 | vsCIN | -1.7 | +1.8 | 55% |
| 16 | @PIT | -0.4 | -3.5 | 40% |
| 17 | vsSEA | +7.4 | -7.2 | 30% |
| 18 | vsATL | -1.5 | +1.7 | 55% |
Quarterbacks · 4
| Pos | Depth | Player | Ht | Wt | Age | College |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QB | 1st | Bryce Young | 5'10" | 204 | 24 | Alabama |
| QB | 2nd | Kenny Pickett | 6'3" | 220 | 27 | Pittsburgh |
| QB | 3rd | Will Grier | 6'1" | 220 | 31 | West Virginia |
| QB | 4th | Haynes King | 6'3" | 215 | 25 | Georgia Tech |
Running Backs · 6
| Pos | Depth | Player | Ht | Wt | Age | College |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB | 1st | Chuba Hubbard | 6'1" | 210 | 26 | Oklahoma State |
| RB | 2nd | Jonathon Brooks | 6'0" | 207 | 22 | Texas |
| RB | 3rd | Trevor Etienne | 5'8" | 198 | 21 | Georgia |
| RB | 4th | AJ Dillon | 6'0" | 247 | 28 | Boston College |
| RB | — | Anthony Tyus III | 6'1" | 226 | 23 | Ohio |
| RB | — | Miles Davis | 5'11" | 215 | 23 | Utah State |
Wide Receivers · 12
| Pos | Depth | Player | Ht | Wt | Age | College |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WR | 1st | Tetairoa McMillan | 6'5" | 212 | 23 | Arizona |
| WR | 2nd | Jalen Coker | 6'3" | 213 | 24 | Holy Cross |
| WR | 3rd | Xavier Legette | 6'3" | 227 | 25 | South Carolina |
| WR | 4th | Chris Brazzell II | 6'4" | 198 | 22 | Tennessee |
| WR | 5th | Jimmy Horn | 5'8" | 174 | 23 | Colorado |
| WR | 6th | John Metchie | 6'0" | 195 | 25 | Alabama |
| WR | 7th | Brycen Tremayne | 6'4" | 212 | 26 | Stanford |
| WR | 8th | David Moore | 6'0" | 220 | 31 | East Central |
| WR | 9th | Dan Chisena | 6'3" | 202 | 29 | Penn State |
| WR | 10th | Ainias Smith | 5'9" | 176 | 25 | Texas A&M |
| WR | 12th | Kobe Prentice | 5'11" | 190 | 22 | Baylor |
| WR | — | Ja'Seem Reed | 6'2" | 195 | 23 | San Diego |
Tight Ends · 6
| Pos | Depth | Player | Ht | Wt | Age | College |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TE | 1st | Tommy Tremble | 6'4" | 250 | 25 | Notre Dame |
| TE | 2nd | Ja'Tavion Sanders | 6'4" | 252 | 23 | Texas |
| TE | 3rd | Mitchell Evans | 6'5" | 258 | 23 | Notre Dame |
| TE | 4th | Feleipe Franks | 6'6" | 241 | 28 | Arkansas |
| TE | 5th | James Mitchell | 6'4" | 249 | 26 | Virginia Tech |
| TE | — | Heinrich Haarberg | 6'4" | 237 | 23 | Nebraska |
Offensive Line · 16
| Pos | Depth | Player | Ht | Wt | Age | College |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OL | — | Albert Reese | 6'7" | 330 | 23 | Mississippi State |
| OL | — | Chandler Zavala | 6'3" | 322 | 27 | N.C. State; Fairmont State |
| OL | — | Damien Lewis | 6'2" | 327 | 29 | LSU; Northwest Mississippi CC |
| OL | — | Ikem Ekwonu | 6'4" | 320 | 25 | N.C. State |
| OL | — | Isaia Glass | 6'4" | 311 | 23 | Vanderbilt |
| OL | — | Ja'Tyre Carter | 6'3" | 311 | 27 | Southern |
| OL | — | Joshua Gray | 6'5" | 299 | 26 | Oregon State |
| OL | — | Luke Fortner | 6'4" | 300 | 28 | Kentucky |
| OL | — | Monroe Freeling | 6'7" | 315 | 21 | Georgia |
| OL | — | Nick Samac | 6'4" | 314 | 24 | Michigan State |
| OL | — | Rasheed Walker | 6'6" | 325 | 26 | Penn State |
| OL | — | Robert Hunt | 6'6" | 323 | 29 | Louisiana-Lafayette |
| OL | — | Saahdiq Charles | 6'4" | 321 | 26 | LSU |
| OL | — | Sam Hecht | 6'4" | 303 | 23 | Kansas State |
| OL | — | Stone Forsythe | 6'8" | 307 | 28 | Florida |
| OL | — | Taylor Moton | 6'5" | 325 | 31 | Western Michigan |
Interior D-Line · 11
| Pos | Depth | Player | Ht | Wt | Age | College |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LDE | 1st | Derrick Brown | 6'5" | 320 | 28 | Auburn |
| NT | 1st | Bobby Brown | 6'4" | 332 | 25 | Texas A&M |
| RDE | 1st | Tershawn Wharton | 6'1" | 280 | 27 | Missouri S&T |
| NT | 2nd | Lee Hunter | 6'4" | 318 | 23 | Texas Tech |
| RDE | 2nd | LaBryan Ray | 6'4" | 290 | 28 | Alabama |
| NT | 3rd | Cam Jackson | 6'6" | 328 | 23 | Florida |
| DL | — | Aaron Hall | 6'4" | 297 | 23 | Duke |
| DL | — | Jared Harrison-Hunte | 6'4" | 294 | 25 | SMU; Miami |
| DL | — | Mapalo Mwansa | 6'2" | 230 | 22 | |
| DL | — | Parker Petersen | 6'4" | 314 | 23 | Wisconsin; Tulane |
| DL | — | Tywone Malone | 6'4" | 309 | 23 | Ohio State; Mississippi |
Edge Rushers · 5
| Pos | Depth | Player | Ht | Wt | Age | College |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SLB | 1st | Jaelan Phillips | 6'5" | 263 | 27 | Miami (FL) |
| WLB | 1st | Nic Scourton | 6'2" | 257 | 21 | Texas A&M |
| SLB | 2nd | Princely Umanmielen | 6'4" | 244 | 24 | Ole Miss |
| WLB | 2nd | Patrick Jones | 6'4" | 264 | 27 | Pittsburgh |
| WLB | 3rd | Trevis Gipson | 6'4" | 263 | 28 | Tulsa |
Linebackers · 11
| Pos | Depth | Player | Ht | Wt | Age | College |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LILB | 1st | Devin Lloyd | 6'3" | 235 | 27 | Utah |
| RILB | 1st | Trevin Wallace | 6'1" | 244 | 23 | Kentucky |
| LILB | 2nd | Claudin Cherelus | 6'2" | 230 | 27 | Alcorn State |
| RILB | 2nd | Bam Martin-Scott | 6'2" | 231 | 25 | South Carolina |
| LILB | 3rd | Jackson Kuwatch | 6'4" | 232 | 23 | Miami (OH) |
| RILB | 3rd | Isaiah Simmons | 6'4" | 238 | 27 | Clemson |
| SLB | 3rd | Thomas Incoom | 6'2" | 265 | 27 | Central Michigan |
| LILB | 4th | Maema Njongmeta | 6'0" | 232 | 25 | Wisconsin |
| WLB | 4th | Nick Hampton | 6'3" | 250 | 26 | Appalachian State |
| LB | — | Isaiah Smith | 6'4" | 248 | 22 | SMU |
| LB | — | Jared Bartlett | 6'2" | 237 | 25 | Cincinnati; West Virginia |
Defensive Backs · 16
| Pos | Depth | Player | Ht | Wt | Age | College |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FS | 1st | Nick Scott | 5'11" | 200 | 31 | Penn State |
| LCB | 1st | Michael Jackson | 6'1" | 210 | 29 | Miami (FL) |
| NB | 1st | Chau Smith-Wade | 5'11" | 176 | 23 | Washington State |
| RCB | 1st | Jaycee Horn | 6'1" | 200 | 26 | South Carolina |
| SS | 1st | Trevon Moehrig | 6'2" | 202 | 26 | TCU |
| FS | 2nd | Lathan Ransom | 6'0" | 206 | 23 | Ohio State |
| LCB | 2nd | Akayleb Evans | 6'2" | 198 | 26 | Missouri |
| NB | 2nd | Corey Thornton | 6'1" | 195 | 25 | Louisville |
| RCB | 2nd | Robert Rochell | 6'2" | 195 | 28 | Central Arkansas |
| SS | 2nd | Zakee Wheatley | 6'3" | 203 | 24 | Penn State |
| FS | 3rd | Demani Richardson | 6'1" | 215 | 25 | Texas A&M |
| RCB | 3rd | Tyrek Funderburk | 6'0" | 185 | 25 | Appalachian State |
| DB | — | Cam Miller | 6'0" | 192 | 22 | Rutgers; Penn State |
| DB | — | Devonta Smith | 5'11" | 195 | 23 | Notre Dame; Alabama |
| DB | — | Jaylon Guilbeau | 5'11" | 190 | 22 | Texas |
| DB | — | Michael Reid | 6'2" | 200 | 24 | South Dakota; Monmouth |
Special Teams · 10
| Pos | Depth | Player | Ht | Wt | Age | College |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | 1st | Sam Martin | 6'1" | 205 | 36 | Appalachian State |
| KR | 1st | Trevor Etienne | 5'8" | 198 | 21 | Georgia |
| P | 1st | Sam Martin | 6'1" | 205 | 36 | Appalachian State |
| PK | 1st | Ryan Fitzgerald | 5'11" | 193 | 25 | Florida State |
| PR | 1st | Trevor Etienne | 5'8" | 198 | 21 | Georgia |
| KR | 2nd | Chuba Hubbard | 6'1" | 210 | 26 | Oklahoma State |
| PR | 2nd | David Moore | 6'0" | 220 | 31 | East Central |
| KR | 3rd | David Moore | 6'0" | 220 | 31 | East Central |
| PR | 3rd | Brycen Tremayne | 6'4" | 212 | 26 | Stanford |
| LS | — | J.J. Jansen | 6'2" | 235 | 40 | Notre Dame |
Team Profile
2025 · pct vs league
| Pass Off | -0.06 | #25 | 23% |
| Rush Off | -0.02 | #20 | 39% |
| Pass Def | 0.11 | #25 | 23% |
| Rush Def | 0.03 | #24 | 26% |
| Scoring Off | 311 | #27 | 16% |
| Scoring Def | 380 | #15 | 55% |
EPA Trend
EPA/play by season · adj
NetOffDefDef: lower = better
Performance · 2025
8-9 · -69 pt diff
| Metric | Off | Def | Rk |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPA / play (adj) | -0.018 | +0.040 | 24 |
| EPA / play (raw) | -0.013 | +0.051 | 22/23 |
| Pass EPA | -0.060 | +0.106 | 25/25 |
| Rush EPA | -0.018 | +0.028 | 20/24 |
| Points | 311 | 380 | — |
Lower def EPA = better. Ranks: 1 best, 32 worst.
Scoring Trend
2025 · pts/game
PPG For
18.3
27th in NFL
PPG Against
22.4
15th in NFL
Differential
-4.1
23rd in NFL
— Points for— Points against
dots: W / LSeason Results
8-9 · 10-7 ATS
WinLossCoveredmargin per game
Situational Splits
2025 · record · pts
| Split | Record | PF | PA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Venue | |||
| Home | 5-3 | 20.9 | 22.9 |
| Away | 3-6 | 16 | 21.9 |
| Competition | |||
| One-score (≤8) | 7-3 | 22.3 | 20.8 |
| vs Winning teams | 2-5 | 14 | 28 |
| Environment | |||
| Indoors | 1-2 | 23 | 24.7 |
| Outdoors | 7-7 | 17.3 | 21.9 |
| Grass | 6-7 | 18.3 | 21.9 |
| Turf | 2-2 | 18.2 | 23.8 |
Recent Form · last 5
2-3 SU · 3-2 ATS · O1/U4
Betting Profile
2025
| Straight up | 8-9 |
| ATS | 10-759% |
| Over / Under | 7-10 O-U |
| — ATS splits — | |
| As favorite | 10-5 |
| As underdog | 0-2 |
| Home | 5-3 |
| Away | 5-4 |
vs closing line · splits show cover-no cover
Cap & Roster Construction
APY $233M· gtd $389M
OFF $57.3M (25%)DEF $173M (74%)ST $2.9M
| Group | Players | APY | % Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| QB | 3 | $14.7M | 6% |
| RB | 4 | $13.1M | 6% |
| WR | 9 | $18.9M | 8% |
| TE | 5 | $10.6M | 5% |
| DL | 5 | $48.3M | 21% |
| EDGE | 5 | $42.7M | 18% |
| LB | 8 | $24.3M | 10% |
| DB | 11 | $57.3M | 25% |
| ST | 2 | $2.9M | 1% |
Top Contracts
| Player | Yrs | Total | Gtd | APY | Cap% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaelan PhillipsDE | 4 | $120M | $60.0M | $30.0M | 10.0% |
| Jaycee HornCB | 4 | $100M | $46.7M | $25.0M | 9.0% |
| Derrick BrownDT | 4 | $96.0M | $41.2M | $24.0M | 9.4% |
| Trevon MoehrigS | 3 | $51.0M | $34.5M | $17.0M | 6.1% |
| Tershawn WhartonDT | 3 | $45.0M | $30.2M | $15.0M | 5.4% |
| Devin LloydLB | 3 | $45.0M | $25.0M | $15.0M | 5.0% |
Pending Free Agents
| Player | Free | APY |
|---|---|---|
| Bryce YoungQB | 2027 | $9.5M |
| Patrick JonesDE | 2027 | $7.5M |
| Michael JacksonCB | 2027 | $5.3M |
| Tommy TrembleTE | 2027 | $5.3M |
| Kenny PickettQB | 2027 | $4.0M |
| Thomas IncoomLB | 2027 | $2.0M |
| Nick ScottS | 2027 | $2.0M |
| John MetchieWR | 2027 | $1.9M |
Roster Profile
avg age 25.8
R1 9Day2 12Day3 27UDFA 17
Homegrown 26 (40%)Acquired 39
Avg experience3.6 yrs
Rookies / Vets (8+ yr)6 / 5
| Group | Players | Avg Age |
|---|---|---|
| QB | 4 | 26.8 |
| RB | 4 | 24.2 |
| WR | 11 | 25 |
| TE | 5 | 25.2 |
| DL | 6 | 25.7 |
| EDGE | 5 | 25.4 |
| LB | 9 | 25.6 |
| DB | 12 | 25.9 |
| ST | 9 | 28.1 |
Injury Report · 5
last report week 19
| Pos | Player | Status |
|---|---|---|
| DE | Patrick Jones | IR· Back |
| OL | Chandler Zavala | PUP-Vested· Calf |
| TE | Ja'Tavion Sanders | IR· Fibula |
| CB | Corey Thornton | IR |
| LB | Trevin Wallace | IR· Shoulder |
CAR News
2 items
- Carolina’s Cap Comparison: LinebackersHow much money are the Panthers spending on their linebackers compared to the rest of the NFL?CAR12h
- Panthers QB Bryce Young becoming more vocal leader in Year 4Panthers quarterback Bryce Young has slowly been developing into a more vocal leader as he enters Year 4 of his tenure with the Panthers.