Division
AFC East
2026 Outlook
Projected wins
10.0p10 7.0 — p90 12.0
| Round | Prob | Bar |
|---|---|---|
| Win division | 44.1% | |
| Make playoffs | 66.4% | |
| Divisional rd. | 39.7% | |
| Conf. champ. | 20.8% | |
| Super Bowl | 10.0% | |
| Win SB | 4.8% |
2026 Schedule · SOS
proj 9.6–7.4·rank 18 / 32
SOS Net
0.00
Opp Off
-0.25
Opp Def
-0.25
| Wk | Opp | Opp | Proj | Win% |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @HOU | +5.7 | -5.3 | 35% |
| 2 | vsDET | +2.0 | +2.5 | 57% |
| 3 | vsLAC | +0.2 | +4.2 | 62% |
| 4 | vsNE | +2.5 | +2.0 | 56% |
| 5 | @LAR | +6.3 | -5.8 | 33% |
| 6 | @LV | -5.3 | +5.8 | 67% |
| 8 | vsBAL | +1.3 | +3.2 | 59% |
| 9 | @MIN | +0.0 | +0.5 | 51% |
| 10 | @NYJ | -6.9 | +7.3 | 71% |
| 11 | vsMIA | -2.4 | +6.9 | 69% |
| 12 | vsKC | +1.4 | +3.1 | 59% |
| 13 | @NE | +2.5 | -2.0 | 44% |
| 14 | @GB | +0.5 | -0.1 | 50% |
| 15 | vsCHI | +0.2 | +4.3 | 62% |
| 16 | @DEN | +1.4 | -1.0 | 47% |
| 17 | @MIA | -2.4 | +2.9 | 58% |
| 18 | vsNYJ | -6.9 | +11.3 | 80% |
Quarterbacks · 3
| Pos | Depth | Player | Ht | Wt | Age | College |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| QB | 1st | Josh Allen | 6'5" | 237 | 30 | Wyoming |
| QB | 2nd | Kyle Allen | 6'3" | 210 | 30 | Houston |
| QB | 3rd | Shane Buechele | 6'0" | 210 | 28 | SMU |
Running Backs · 7
| Pos | Depth | Player | Ht | Wt | Age | College |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FB | 1st | Ben VanSumeren | 6'2" | 231 | 26 | Michigan State |
| RB | 1st | James Cook | 5'11" | 190 | 26 | Georgia |
| RB | 2nd | Ty Johnson | 5'10" | 210 | 28 | Maryland |
| RB | 3rd | Ray Davis | 5'8" | 220 | 26 | Kentucky |
| RB | 5th | Desmond Reid | 5'8" | 175 | 21 | Pittsburgh |
| RB | — | Frank Gore Jr. | 5'8" | 195 | 24 | Southern Miss |
| RB | — | Jackson Acker | 6'1" | 247 | 23 | Wisconsin |
Wide Receivers · 12
| Pos | Depth | Player | Ht | Wt | Age | College |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| WR | 1st | D.J. Moore | 6'0" | 213 | 29 | Maryland |
| WR | 2nd | Khalil Shakir | 6'0" | 190 | 26 | Boise State |
| WR | 3rd | Joshua Palmer | 6'1" | 210 | 26 | Tennessee |
| WR | 4th | Keon Coleman | 6'4" | 215 | 23 | Florida State |
| WR | 5th | Skyler Bell | 6'0" | 185 | 23 | UConn |
| WR | 6th | Tyrell Shavers | 6'4" | 211 | 26 | San Diego State |
| WR | 7th | Mecole Hardman | 5'10" | 187 | 28 | Georgia |
| WR | 8th | Trent Sherfield | 6'1" | 205 | 30 | Vanderbilt |
| WR | 9th | Jalen Virgil | 6'1" | 210 | 27 | Appalachian State |
| WR | — | Gabriel Benyard | 5'10" | 185 | — | Kennesaw State |
| WR | — | Ja'Mori Maclin | 5'11" | 183 | 24 | Kentucky; North Texas; Missouri |
| WR | — | Stephen Gosnell | 6'1" | 198 | 24 | Virginia Tech; North Carolina |
Tight Ends · 5
| Pos | Depth | Player | Ht | Wt | Age | College |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TE | 1st | Dalton Kincaid | 6'4" | 240 | 26 | Utah |
| TE | 2nd | Dawson Knox | 6'4" | 254 | 29 | Ole Miss |
| TE | 3rd | Jackson Hawes | 6'4" | 253 | 25 | Georgia Tech |
| TE | 4th | Shane Zylstra | 6'4" | 244 | 29 | Minn State-Mankato |
| TE | 5th | Keleki Latu | 6'6" | 249 | 23 | Washington; Nevada |
Offensive Line · 16
| Pos | Depth | Player | Ht | Wt | Age | College |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OL | — | Alec Anderson | 6'5" | 305 | 26 | UCLA |
| OL | — | Ar'maj Reed-Adams | 6'5" | 314 | 24 | Texas A&M; Kansas |
| OL | — | Austin Corbett | 6'4" | 306 | 30 | Nevada |
| OL | — | Bruno Fina | 6'5" | 300 | — | Duke; UCLA |
| OL | — | Chase Lundt | 6'7" | 304 | 25 | Connecticut |
| OL | — | Connor McGovern | 6'6" | 318 | 28 | Penn State |
| OL | — | De'Metrius Weatherspoon | 6'7" | 320 | 23 | Syracuse; Howard |
| OL | — | Dion Dawkins | 6'5" | 320 | 32 | Temple |
| OL | — | Jude Bowry | 6'5" | 311 | 22 | Boston College |
| OL | — | Lloyd Cushenberry III | 6'4" | 315 | 28 | LSU |
| OL | — | Nick Broeker | 6'4" | 305 | 25 | Mississippi |
| OL | — | O'Cyrus Torrence | 6'5" | 330 | 26 | Florida; Louisiana-Lafayette |
| OL | — | Sedrick Van Pran-Granger | 6'4" | 315 | 24 | Georgia |
| OL | — | Spencer Brown | 6'8" | 311 | 28 | Northern Iowa |
| OL | — | Travis Clayton | 6'7" | 303 | 25 | |
| OL | — | Tylan Grable | 6'5" | 313 | 26 | UCF; Jacksonville State |
Interior D-Line · 10
| Pos | Depth | Player | Ht | Wt | Age | College |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LDE | 1st | T.J. Sanders | 6'4" | 297 | 22 | South Carolina |
| NT | 1st | Deone Walker | 6'7" | 331 | 22 | Kentucky |
| RDE | 1st | Ed Oliver | 6'1" | 287 | 28 | Houston |
| LDE | 2nd | Phidarian Mathis | 6'4" | 312 | 28 | Alabama |
| NT | 2nd | DeWayne Carter | 6'3" | 305 | 25 | Duke |
| RDE | 2nd | Zane Durant | 6'1" | 290 | 22 | Penn State |
| LDE | 3rd | Zion Logue | 6'6" | 314 | 24 | Georgia |
| RDE | 3rd | Tommy Akingbesote | 6'3" | 306 | 23 | Maryland |
| DL | — | Cade Denhoff | 6'5" | 260 | 23 | Clemson |
| DL | — | Kody Huisman | 6'4" | 297 | 23 | Virginia Tech; North Dakota State |
Edge Rushers · 7
| Pos | Depth | Player | Ht | Wt | Age | College |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SLB | 1st | Bradley Chubb | 6'4" | 268 | 29 | North Carolina State |
| WLB | 1st | Gregory Rousseau | 6'6" | 266 | 26 | Miami (FL) |
| WLB | 2nd | Michael Hoecht | 6'4" | 310 | 28 | Brown |
| SLB | 3rd | Michael Danna | 6'2" | 257 | 28 | Michigan |
| WLB | 3rd | Javon Solomon | 6'1" | 247 | 25 | Troy |
| SLB | 4th | Andre Jones | 6'5" | 258 | 27 | Louisiana |
| WLB | 4th | Landon Jackson | 6'6" | 264 | 23 | Arkansas |
Linebackers · 8
| Pos | Depth | Player | Ht | Wt | Age | College |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LILB | 1st | Dorian Williams | 6'2" | 230 | 24 | Tulane |
| RILB | 1st | Terrel Bernard | 6'1" | 224 | 27 | Baylor |
| LILB | 2nd | Joe Andreessen | 6'1" | 232 | 26 | Buffalo |
| RILB | 2nd | Demetrius Flannigan-Fowles | 6'2" | 223 | 29 | Arizona |
| RILB | 3rd | Kaleb Elarms-Orr | 6'2" | 230 | 22 | TCU |
| RILB | 4th | Keonta Jenkins | 6'2" | 198 | 24 | Virginia Tech |
| LB | — | Jimmy Ciarlo | 6'2" | 230 | 25 | Army |
| LB | — | Theron Gaines | 6'1" | 237 | 21 | Tennessee Technological Univ |
Defensive Backs · 18
| Pos | Depth | Player | Ht | Wt | Age | College |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FS | 1st | Geno Stone | 5'11" | 210 | 27 | Iowa |
| LCB | 1st | Christian Benford | 6'1" | 205 | 25 | Villanova |
| NB | 1st | Chauncey Gardner-Johnson | 5'11" | 208 | 28 | Florida |
| RCB | 1st | Maxwell Hairston | 5'11" | 183 | 22 | Kentucky |
| SS | 1st | Cole Bishop | 6'2" | 207 | 23 | Utah |
| FS | 2nd | Damar Hamlin | 6'0" | 200 | 28 | Pittsburgh |
| NB | 2nd | Jalon Kilgore | 6'1" | 211 | 21 | South Carolina |
| RCB | 2nd | Davison Igbinosun | 6'2" | 193 | 22 | Ohio State |
| SS | 2nd | Jalon Kilgore | 6'1" | 211 | 21 | South Carolina |
| FS | 3rd | Jordan Hancock | 6'0" | 195 | 22 | Ohio State |
| NB | 3rd | Dee Alford | 5'11" | 180 | 28 | Tusculum |
| RCB | 3rd | Dorian Strong | 6'1" | 185 | 24 | Virginia Tech |
| FS | 4th | Sam Franklin | 6'3" | 210 | 30 | Temple |
| DB | — | Daryl Porter | 5'11" | 184 | 24 | Miami; West Virginia |
| DB | — | Jordan Dunbar | 6'0" | 195 | 24 | Missouri State; Kansas State; Rice |
| DB | — | Kani Walker | 6'2" | 204 | — | Arkansas; Oklahoma; Louisville |
| DB | — | Te'Cory Couch | 5'10" | 185 | 26 | Miami |
| DB | — | Wande Owens | 5'11" | 205 | 25 | New Hampshire; Yale |
Special Teams · 10
| Pos | Depth | Player | Ht | Wt | Age | College |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | 1st | Mitch Wishnowsky | 6'2" | 220 | 34 | Utah |
| KR | 1st | Ray Davis | 5'8" | 220 | 26 | Kentucky |
| P | 1st | Mitch Wishnowsky | 6'2" | 220 | 34 | Utah |
| PK | 1st | Tyler Bass | 5'10" | 183 | 29 | Georgia Southern |
| PR | 1st | Khalil Shakir | 6'0" | 190 | 26 | Boise State |
| KR | 2nd | Ty Johnson | 5'10" | 210 | 28 | Maryland |
| PR | 2nd | Keon Coleman | 6'4" | 215 | 23 | Florida State |
| KR | 3rd | Mecole Hardman | 5'10" | 187 | 28 | Georgia |
| PR | 3rd | Mecole Hardman | 5'10" | 187 | 28 | Georgia |
| LS | — | Reid Ferguson | 6'2" | 235 | 32 | LSU |
Team Profile
2025 · pct vs league
| Pass Off | 0.16 | #5 | 87% |
| Rush Off | 0.11 | #1 | 100% |
| Pass Def | -0.09 | #9 | 74% |
| Rush Def | 0.08 | #29 | 10% |
| Scoring Off | 481 | #4 | 90% |
| Scoring Def | 365 | #12 | 65% |
EPA Trend
EPA/play by season · adj
NetOffDefDef: lower = better
Performance · 2025
12-5 · +116 pt diff
| Metric | Off | Def | Rk |
|---|---|---|---|
| EPA / play (adj) | +0.117 | +0.059 | 6 |
| EPA / play (raw) | +0.118 | +0.030 | 1/19 |
| Pass EPA | +0.164 | -0.091 | 5/9 |
| Rush EPA | +0.110 | +0.085 | 1/29 |
| Points | 481 | 365 | — |
Lower def EPA = better. Ranks: 1 best, 32 worst.
Scoring Trend
2025 · pts/game
PPG For
28.3
4th in NFL
PPG Against
21.5
12th in NFL
Differential
+6.8
5th in NFL
— Points for— Points against
dots: W / LSeason Results
12-5 · 8-9 ATS
WinLossCoveredmargin per game
Situational Splits
2025 · record · pts
| Split | Record | PF | PA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Venue | |||
| Home | 7-2 | 31.2 | 23.4 |
| Away | 5-3 | 25 | 19.2 |
| Competition | |||
| One-score (≤8) | 5-3 | 27.1 | 25.6 |
| vs Winning teams | 2-3 | 22.4 | 19.4 |
| Environment | |||
| Indoors | 0-2 | 16.5 | 23.5 |
| Outdoors | 12-3 | 29.9 | 21.2 |
| Grass | 3-1 | 25.5 | 16.5 |
| Turf | 9-4 | 29.2 | 23 |
| Cold (<40°F) | 6-1 | 30.6 | 20.7 |
Recent Form · last 5
4-1 SU · 2-3 ATS · O4/U1
Betting Profile
2025
| Straight up | 12-5 |
| ATS | 8-947% |
| Over / Under | 9-8 O-U |
| — ATS splits — | |
| As favorite | 2-0 |
| As underdog | 6-9 |
| Home | 4-5 |
| Away | 4-4 |
vs closing line · splits show cover-no cover
Cap & Roster Construction
APY $277M· gtd $468M
OFF $145M (52%)DEF $127M (46%)ST $4.8M
| Group | Players | APY | % Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| QB | 3 | $58.2M | 21% |
| RB | 3 | $15.2M | 5% |
| WR | 8 | $58.0M | 21% |
| TE | 5 | $13.4M | 5% |
| DL | 7 | $25.7M | 9% |
| EDGE | 7 | $46.8M | 17% |
| LB | 5 | $15.1M | 5% |
| DB | 11 | $39.8M | 14% |
| ST | 2 | $4.8M | 2% |
Top Contracts
| Player | Yrs | Total | Gtd | APY | Cap% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh AllenQB | 6 | $330M | $147M | $55.0M | 19.7% |
| D.J. MooreWR | 4 | $110M | $43.6M | $27.5M | 10.8% |
| Gregory RousseauDE | 4 | $80.0M | $49.0M | $20.0M | 7.2% |
| Christian BenfordCB | 4 | $69.0M | $18.9M | $17.3M | 6.2% |
| Ed OliverDT | 4 | $68.0M | $24.5M | $17.0M | 7.6% |
| Bradley ChubbDE | 3 | $43.5M | $21.8M | $14.5M | 4.8% |
Pending Free Agents
| Player | Free | APY |
|---|---|---|
| Ed OliverDT | 2027 | $17.0M |
| Chauncey Gardner-JohnsonS | 2027 | $3.5M |
| Dalton KincaidTE | 2027 | $3.4M |
| Ty JohnsonRB | 2027 | $2.5M |
| Mitch WishnowskyPN | 2027 | $1.5M |
| Geno StoneS | 2027 | $1.4M |
| Michael DannaDE | 2027 | $1.4M |
| Mecole HardmanWR | 2027 | $1.4M |
Roster Profile
avg age 26.1
R1 7Day2 16Day3 27UDFA 15
Homegrown 32 (49%)Acquired 33
Avg experience3.8 yrs
Rookies / Vets (8+ yr)7 / 5
| Group | Players | Avg Age |
|---|---|---|
| QB | 3 | 29.3 |
| RB | 5 | 25.4 |
| WR | 9 | 26.4 |
| TE | 5 | 26.4 |
| DL | 8 | 24.2 |
| EDGE | 7 | 26.6 |
| LB | 6 | 25.3 |
| DB | 13 | 24.7 |
| ST | 9 | 28.4 |
Injury Report · 11
last report week 20
| Pos | Player | Status |
|---|---|---|
| PK | Tyler Bass | IR· Hip |
| S | Damar Hamlin | PUP-Vested· Pectoral |
| WR | Joshua Palmer | IR· Ankle |
| LB | Ben VanSumeren | IR· Knee |
| DT | DeWayne Carter | IR· Achilles |
| DE | Landon Jackson | IR |
| OL | Chase Lundt | IR· Knee |
| DB | Wande Owens | IR |
| CB | Dorian Strong | IR· Neck |
| WR | Tyrell Shavers | IR· Knee |
| DE | Michael Hoecht | IR· Knee |
BUF News
13 items
- Betting the Bills in 2026: See how Buffalo's win total, Super Bowl odds are trending and our best betsWe're breaking down Bills futures in our 2026 betting preview, featuring odds, trends, schedule and moreBUF5h
- Bills sign WR Mac Dalena, waive CB Daryl PorterThe Bills announced a couple of roster moves on Monday.
- Bills sign WR Mac Dalena, waive CB Daryl PorterThe Bills announced a couple of roster moves on Monday.
- New scheme provides new opportunity for DT Tommy AkingbesoteWith a new defensive system, a new archetype along the defensive line may be in order
- Discussion: What was the best Buffalo Bills team of the Sean McDermott era?Trying to determine the best Bills team of the McDermott eraBUF13h
- Should Bills be worried about Ed Oliver’s new injury?Examining Oliver’s newly discovered injury
- DJ Moore: "Growing pains" part of adjusting to new offense, it will be "perfect" laterWIde receiver DJ Moore is in his first offseason with the Bills and adjusting to the team's offense remains a work in progress.BUF1d
- Bills news: Excitement building for Jim Leonhard’s new-look defenseAs Jim Leonhard builds his defense at OTAs, veterans like DT Ed Oliver are looking forward to a “fun, different” scheme.
- Bills will travel internationally again in 2027An NFL rule guarantees this development for the BillsBUF1d
- Bills show biggest departure from Sean McDermott with ‘Bills Red’ labelOn what the establishment of ‘Bills Red’ suggests for this Bills regimeBUF2d
- Bills will face some top-tier WRs in 2026The Bills pass defense will be tested against these explosive receivers in 2026BUF3d
- Early impressions of Bills defense under Jim LeonhardJim Leonhard is in his first NFL defensive coordinator role, but spent five years in that position at Wisconsin.
- AFC East win totals: Take the Over on Josh Allen and the Bills in 2026Breaking down the Over/Under victories for the AFC East